![]() In fact, Muslims are expected to grow as a percentage of every region except Latin America and the Caribbean, where relatively few Muslims live. For example, Muslims in sub-Saharan Africa, on average, are younger and have higher fertility than the overall population of the region. But even within these high-growth regions – as well as others – Muslims are projected to grow faster than members of other groups. More than a third of Muslims are concentrated in Africa and the Middle East, regions that are projected to have the biggest population increases. ![]() This, combined with high fertility rates, will accelerate Muslim population growth. The growth of the Muslim population also is helped by the fact that Muslims have the youngest median age (24 in 2015) of all major religious groups, more than seven years younger than the median age of non-Muslims (32).Ī larger share of Muslims will soon be at the point in their lives when people begin having children. In all major regions where there is a sizable Muslim population, Muslim fertility exceeds non-Muslim fertility. ![]() Muslim women have an average of 2.9 children, significantly above the next-highest group (Christians at 2.6) and the average of all non-Muslims (2.2). To begin with, Muslims have more children than members of the seven other major religious groups analyzed in the study. The main reasons for Islam’s growth ultimately involve simple demographics. Learn about Muslims and Islam through four short lessons delivered to your inbox every other day. ![]() Try our email course on Muslims and Islam Forty-five years later, they are expected to make up more than three-in-ten of the world’s people (31.1%). In 2015, Muslims made up 24.1% of the global population. While the world’s population is projected to grow 32% in the coming decades, the number of Muslims is expected to increase by 70% – from 1.8 billion in 2015 to nearly 3 billion in 2060. In the next half century or so, Christianity’s long reign as the world’s largest religion may come to an end, according to a just-released report that builds on Pew Research Center’s original population growth projections for religious groups. Indeed, Muslims will grow more than twice as fast as the overall world population between 20 and, in the second half of this century, will likely surpass Christians as the world’s largest religious group. ![]()
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